Comments on: Dataset of the Day: Who is Affected by Obama’s Tax Plan http://blog.geoiq.com/2008/11/03/data-set-of-the-day-who-is-affected-by-obamas-tax-plan/ News and updates from GeoIQ Sat, 11 Feb 2012 02:55:19 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.1 By: Seth Holladay » Links » links for 2008-11-17 http://blog.geoiq.com/2008/11/03/data-set-of-the-day-who-is-affected-by-obamas-tax-plan/#comment-658 Seth Holladay » Links » links for 2008-11-17 Tue, 18 Nov 2008 07:00:41 +0000 http://blog.fortiusone.com/2008/11/03/data-set-of-the-day-who-is-affected-by-obamas-tax-plan/#comment-658 [...] Dataset of the Day: Who is Affected by Obama’s Tax Plan | Off the Map - Official Blog of FortiusOn... (tags: politicalmaps) [...] [...] Dataset of the Day: Who is Affected by Obama’s Tax Plan | Off the Map – Official Blog of FortiusOn… (tags: politicalmaps) [...]

]]> By: Dataset of the Day: How Did the Rich Vote? | Off the Map - Official Blog of FortiusOne http://blog.geoiq.com/2008/11/03/data-set-of-the-day-who-is-affected-by-obamas-tax-plan/#comment-657 Dataset of the Day: How Did the Rich Vote? | Off the Map - Official Blog of FortiusOne Mon, 17 Nov 2008 16:00:47 +0000 http://blog.fortiusone.com/2008/11/03/data-set-of-the-day-who-is-affected-by-obamas-tax-plan/#comment-657 [...] my last blog post, I looked at places with the most $1 Million + Homes in order to get an idea of where more people [...] [...] my last blog post, I looked at places with the most $1 Million + Homes in order to get an idea of where more people [...]

]]> By: TheMan370 http://blog.geoiq.com/2008/11/03/data-set-of-the-day-who-is-affected-by-obamas-tax-plan/#comment-656 TheMan370 Thu, 13 Nov 2008 16:23:49 +0000 http://blog.fortiusone.com/2008/11/03/data-set-of-the-day-who-is-affected-by-obamas-tax-plan/#comment-656 That seems too good to be true, don't you think? That seems too good to be true, don’t you think?

]]> By: Sean Gorman http://blog.geoiq.com/2008/11/03/data-set-of-the-day-who-is-affected-by-obamas-tax-plan/#comment-655 Sean Gorman Mon, 03 Nov 2008 16:56:25 +0000 http://blog.fortiusone.com/2008/11/03/data-set-of-the-day-who-is-affected-by-obamas-tax-plan/#comment-655 Very interesting analysis - the fact the exit polls from 2004 seem to differ from geographic aggregation of the data could point to a MAUP problem. Which is a geek term for Modifiable Areal Unit Problem - meaning when you aggregate the data you can get potentially false correlations. I do not think we'll know for sure until we see the exit polls for this election broken down by income bracket. What this analysis could be showing is that the geographies with the largest income disparities are voting for Obama. For every million dollar home or resident making over +$250k there are many more people who make far less and a campaign of tax breaks targeted towards them and not the wealthier set would be quite appealing. Vice versa in states where there are fewer million dollar homes and +$250k incomes, disparities could be less of a driving issue for voters. There are lots of other issues at play here besides just income and taxes in how citizens vote but this does show a interesting trend that is counter intuitive to what we here on the campaign trail and in the media. Look forward to seeing how the Joe the Plumber demographic actually votes in the election. Will the gap be as pronounced as 2004 at 36% vs. 62% Very interesting analysis – the fact the exit polls from 2004 seem to differ from geographic aggregation of the data could point to a MAUP problem. Which is a geek term for Modifiable Areal Unit Problem – meaning when you aggregate the data you can get potentially false correlations. I do not think we’ll know for sure until we see the exit polls for this election broken down by income bracket.

What this analysis could be showing is that the geographies with the largest income disparities are voting for Obama. For every million dollar home or resident making over +$250k there are many more people who make far less and a campaign of tax breaks targeted towards them and not the wealthier set would be quite appealing. Vice versa in states where there are fewer million dollar homes and +$250k incomes, disparities could be less of a driving issue for voters.

There are lots of other issues at play here besides just income and taxes in how citizens vote but this does show a interesting trend that is counter intuitive to what we here on the campaign trail and in the media. Look forward to seeing how the Joe the Plumber demographic actually votes in the election. Will the gap be as pronounced as 2004 at 36% vs. 62%

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